Can Scotland finally end the long-standing losing streak?
Autumn Nations Series: Scotland v New Zealand
Venue: Murrayfield Stadium, Edinburgh When: this weekend Kick-off: 15:10 GMT
Things were simpler then. Match number four of the Scottish and New Zealand teams. A packed stadium, a 0-0 draw, January 1964. Euphoria at full-time. A pitch invasion to reflect the home team's momentous achievement.
After defeating Ireland, Wales and England, New Zealand had finally been halted in a international match.
A contemporary reporter was nearly overcome with excitement. "An unforgettable sporting spectacle," he announced excitedly with considerable hope. "Where Scottish rugby preserved British pride."
Exiting the ground after the match, home supporters would have had hope for the future. Multiple efforts to defeat the All Blacks and no wins, but clear signs that maybe one was not far off.
Three years later, the All Blacks defeated Scotland. Five years after that, history repeated itself. Another three years passed, identical outcome. Another five-year gap and, yes, you know the rest.
Recent History
Two decades of matches later. Twenty All Black wins. From Christchurch to Dunedin, Auckland to Cardiff - the landscapes have changed but not the outcomes.
In his time in the job, Gregor Townsend has ended losing runs in major European venues, but this is another level. Over a century of matches. Among rugby's most persistent curses.
Team News
Over the past seasons the comprehensive defeats have narrowed to eight points, five points and eight points in 2014, 2017 and 2022, but New Zealand consistently prevail.
Via their excellence, their power, their chicanery, they secure victory.
As match day approaches where the optimism that some may have held for Scottish success is likely diminishing. Hope is colliding with history.
Key Absences
Thursday brought news that Zander Fagerson hadn't made it. For Scotland's hopes it was like a kick in the guts.
Fagerson hasn't played since April, but he's a freak and had he been declared fit then the long gap without a game would not have been a massive concern.
In an era when most props are replaced long before the hour-mark, Fagerson's engine keeps running. No tighthead played nearly as many minutes in the European championship.
Squad Depth
They're without Huw Jones but Rory Hutchinson is flying form with his club. Fagerson's replacement presents concerns. D'Arcy Rae is an admirable tighthead, his international experience consists of 73 minutes stretched across six years.
And when Rae is finished, his replacement takes over. While competent, evidence is lacking that he's All Black-beating class.
Strategic Decisions
Townsend has sprung surprises, some logical, some curious. Steyn's tactical awareness replaces van der Merwe's physical approach.
The flanker selection is unconventional, Rory Darge starting on the bench. Onyeama-Christie's omission is notable.
Historical Context
Against Ireland, the All Blacks secured the opening match of what they hope will be a Grand Slam tour. They took an age to get going, despite numerical advantage, but their final surge did the trick.
Combined with Irish vulnerabilities, offensive struggles, set-piece issues.
By the Numbers
Despite late-game surges, the last 20 minutes is not where New Zealand typically dominates. In all of their Tests recently, they've scored 87 tries in opening periods and 60 in the second half.
They've scored 39 in the first quarter, excellent second quarters, 26 in the third and solid finishes. They come exploding out of the traps.
What Scotland Needs
Against Scotland in 2022, they struck twice in the opening seven minutes. Establishing early dominance, the game looked done. Scotland recovered majestically to dominate temporarily.
The lesson here is that, metaphorically, Scotland must put the boot on the throat from the start - maintaining intensity.
In recent years, the teams that have managed to beat New Zealand have required a points average in the high-20s. Scottish scoring only twice in their past 13 games against the All Blacks.
Conclusion
Perfect execution is required for Scotland. Absolutely everything. Wasted opportunities then hopes fade. Disciplinary issues? A high penalty count? A battered scrum? The game is lost.
But what if everything does go right? A blistering beginning. A raucous crowd. Bedlam. Clinical finishing. Finn Russell's magic. Graham being Graham.
Optimistic thinking, perhaps. Consistent performance has been elusive from Scotland that would be good enough to beat the All Blacks. If it's in there, now is the moment; a century is sufficient.